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Expert Outlines Risks, Upsides For Nigerian Economy: Israel-Iran War

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Israel-Iran War

Expert Outlines Risks, Upsides For Nigerian Economy: Israel-Iran War

Expert outlines risks, upsides for Nigerian economy: Israel-Iran War. With the escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict, crude oil prices surged to $75 per barrel from $65 per barrel a week before, the economist noted.

An economist, Muda Yusuf, says the outbreak of war between Israel and Iran portends a combination of risks and upsides for the Nigerian economy amidst the challenges of an already floundering global economy.

Mr Yusuf, the CEO of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, stated this on Sunday in a statement. He noted that economies around the world are currently grappling with elevated geopolitical tension triggered by the Russian-Ukraine war and now the Israel-Hamas conflict.

The expert identified energy cost escalation, high interest rate implications, and money supply growth as the risks associated with the conflict.

He noted that a major driver of energy prices in Nigeria was the global crude oil price, and with the escalation of the Israeli-Iranian conflict, crude oil prices surged to $75 per barrel from $65 per barrel a week before.

“This is a 15 per cent jump within days and has obvious implications for petroleum product prices globally.

“Economies around the world, Nigeria inclusive, would witness a surge in the price of petrol, diesel, jet fuel, gas and related products in the near term. This would have far-reaching implications for many economies and businesses,” he said.

Mr Yusuf added that there was a risk of high monetary growth with an increase in revenue from the oil sector. He noted that the money supply in the Nigerian economy increased as oil revenue rose due to the monetisation of oil receipts.
According to him, this can pose additional risks to inflation and exchange rate depreciation.

The economist noted that this might also provoke a tighter monetary policy stance, which could result in difficult credit conditions for businesses.

Mr Yusuf, however, said that there had been a historically positive correlation between crude oil prices, GDP growth, and stock market performance. He said the outlook for the Nigerian stock market was, therefore, likely to be positive in the current context.

As for the upsides for the Nigerian economy, Yusuf asserted that if the current conflict persists and escalates, the surge in crude oil prices will impact foreign exchange earnings, with oil being the country’s biggest earner.

“This would even be more impactful if output performance improves. Crude oil price has surged to $75 per, which is about 15 per cent higher than before the outbreak of the Israeli-Iran conflict.

“This development would also positively impact the country’s foreign reserves, ensure better foreign exchange liquidity and ultimately the stability of the naira exchange rate,” he said.

Israel-Iran War

Israel-Iran War

 

Mr Yusuf added that the development would also positively impact the country’s revenue as the oil sector currently accounted for about 50 per cent of government revenue.

According to him, an improvement in crude oil price would, therefore, have a significant impact on government revenue.

He added that improvement in revenue would positively impact fiscal consolidation and hopefully moderate the growth of the fiscal deficit.

“Investments in the oil and gas sector would post better returns if the conflict persists. High oil price is good news for upstream oil and gas investors,” Mr Yusuf said.

Crime

Contractor Julius Ejiogu Bags Two Years Imprisonment For Forgery

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Friends Jailed 12 Months For Stealing Clothes In Jos

Contractor Julius Ejiogu Bags Two Years Imprisonment For Forgery

Justice F. A. Olubanjo of the Federal High Court sitting in Asaba, Delta State has convicted and sentenced Julius Ejiogu, a contractor to two years imprisonment for forgery.

The convict was arraigned on a three -count charge of conspiracy, forgery and uttering of false document on March 23, 2021 by the Benin Zonal Directorate of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC.

Upon arraignment, he pleaded not guilty to the charge setting the stage for trial.

The charge reads: “That you Julius Eljiogu and one Engr. E. Expert (at large) on or about the 2nd of August 2013, at Delta State within the jurisdiction of this honourable did conspires amongst yourselves to committed felony to wit: make a document titled Award of Contract for the Construction of Obudu-operation Road in Udu L.G.A. Delta State dated 2nd August 2013 on a letterhead paper on the Niger Delta Development Commission, NDDC, purported to have been issued or emanated from NDDC for the award of Contract which you knew to be false and thereby committed an offence contrary to Section 3(6) of the Miscellaneous Offence Act Cap M17 of the Revised Edition (Laws of the Federation of Nigeria) Act 2007 and punishable under Section 3 (1)(C) of the same Act.”

In the course of the trial, prosecution counsel, K.Y. Bello called four witnesses and tendered several documents which were admitted by the court while the defendant testified as sole witness for his case.

Friends Jailed 12 Months For Stealing Clothes In Jos

Jail

Justice Olubanjo in his judgment (on Thursday January 15, 2026) found the defendant guilty on count one of the charge but discharged and acquitted him on count two and three . The judge consequently sentenced the defendant to two years imprisonment with an option of N1 million fine.

The convict’s road to jail began when he purportedly got a letter for the award of Contract for the Construction of Obudu-Oleri Road in Udu Local Government Area, Delta State from one Engr. Eshitt of the Niger Delta Development Commission. He went ahead to sell the contract to the petitioner for N2 million only for him to discover that the said contract award was fake.

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EFCC Boss Olukoyede Charges DNFBPs On SCUML Compliance In South-East

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Ola Olukoyede

EFCC Boss Olukoyede Charges DNFBPs On SCUML Compliance In South-East

In its bid to frontally combat money laundering, terrorism financing, proliferation of weapons of mass destruction, safeguard businesses and strengthen the integrity of Nigeria’s financial system, the Executive Chairman of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC, Mr. Ola Olukoyede has called on operators of Designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions, DNFBPs in the South-East to comply with mandatory registration under the Special Control Unit Against Money Laundering, SCUML.

He made this call recently on a live Radio programme at the Enugu State Broadcasting Service where he explained the importance of the SCUML certificate for businesses operating within the non-financial sector.

The Executive Chairman, who was represented by Assistant Commander of the EFCC, ACE II Promise Oluigbo, Head of SCUML Department in Enugu Zonal Directorate of the Commission noted that SCUML is responsible for the registration, regulation, monitoring and supervision of DNFBPs as provided for under the Money Laundering (Prevention and Prohibition) Act 2022.

“DNFBPs are categories of businesses identified under Section 30 of the Money Laundering Act and include sectors such as automobile dealerships, real estate businesses, construction firms, hospitality services, supermarkets, legal practitioners, consultants, and non-profit organizations.’

“ As a regulatory body responsible for overseeing the activities of these businesses in order to curb money laundering and financing of terrorism, it’s important I say it here that the registration process is completely free. Business owners do not need to engage any third party. All they need to do is visit the SCUML portal and complete the registration process”, he said.

According to him, with the introduction of electronic certification which has improved efficiency and eliminated the risk of fake certificates, over 480,000 (Four Hundred and Eighty Thousand ) entities have been registered nationwide. He warned members of the public against engaging agents who charge fees for SCUML registration, stressing that the Commission does not authorize third-party registrations. “The EFCC frowns at any individual or group collecting money from businesses under the guise of facilitating SCUML registration. The process is seamless and free of charge”, he said.

Ola Olukoyede

Ola Olukoyede

While emphasizing on the need for businesses to register and collect the certificate, Olukoyede enjoined them to ensue adherence to statutory requirements such as Know Your Customer, KYC procedures, customer due diligence, record keeping and reporting of suspicious transactions, adding that failure to comply constitutes a violation of the law and may attract fines, imprisonment or other regulatory sanctions as stipulated under the Act.

“The objective of the SCUML framework is not to stifle businesses but to protect the financial system and ensure transparency in commercial activities.

It is designed to safeguard businesses and strengthen the integrity of Nigeria’s financial system”, he said.

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Kaduna Court Jails Three For Fraud

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Kaduna Court Jails Three For Fraud

Kaduna court jails three for fraud. Justice A. Isiaka of the Kaduna State High Court, sitting in Kaduna has convicted and jailed the trio of Aliyu Hassan, Samuel Olamide and Solomon Joseph Christian for fraud.

They were prosecuted by the Kaduna Zonal Directorate of the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission, EFCC on separate one-count charge, bordering on criminal impersonation and obtaining by false pretence.

The charge against Hassan reads: “That you, Aliyu Hassan (a.k.a Ottaviani Loverules Giovanni) on or about the 9th of February, 2026 in Kaduna within the jurisdiction of the Honourable Court, impersonated one Ottaviani Loverules Giovanni (a citizen of Brazil) via Facebook platform and in such assumed character, you defrauded one Kerry the sum of N90,000.00 (Ninety Thousand Naira, only) and you thereby committed an offence contrary to Section 142(1) of the Kaduna State Penal Code Law, 2017 and punishable under the same law.”

Olamide’s charge reads: “That you, Samuel Olamide (a.k.a Johnny) on or about the 9th of February, 2026 in Kaduna within the jurisdiction of the Honourable Court, impersonated one Johnny (a United States of America) citizen via TikTok platform and in such assumed character, you defrauded one Jackie Sanders (an American ) and you thereby committed an offence contrary to Section 142(1) of the Kaduna State Penal Code Law, 2017 and punishable under the same law.”

Christian’s charge reads: “That you, Solomon Joseph Christian.(a.k.a Jenort) sometime in February, 2026 in Kaduna, within the jurisdiction of this Honourable Court, impersonated one Jenort via Facebook (a social media platform) and in that assumed character benefited the sum of $USD150 and you thereby committed an offence contrary to Section 142(1) of the Kaduna State Penal Code Law, 2017 and punishable under the same law.”

They all pleaded “guilty,” following which the prosecution counsel, M.U Gadaka prayed the court to convict and sentence them accordingly.

Justice Isiaka convicted and sentenced them to five years imprisonment each or to pay N300,000 (Three Hundred Thousand Naira) fine, respectively.

Court

Court

In addition to the sentence, Hassan forfeited N90,000.00 (Ninety Thousand Naira) and a Samsung Galaxy Note 8 mobile phone with IMEI No SM-N9500, being the proceeds of his crime. Olamide forfeited a Samsung Galaxy S21 mobile phone with IMEI No 35198153052814, being the tool of his crime and Christian forfeited iPhone 14 Pro with IMEI NO 35771267218661 and the sum of $150 (One Hundred and Fifty Dollars) being the proceeds of his crime. All the forfeitures were to the federal government.

The convicts were arrested in Agwa, Kudende area of Kaduna following credible intelligence that linked them to fraudulent internet activities. They were charged to court and convicted.

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